Race 5A

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eddie Cox 12.8% 10.8% 11.2% 13.6% 9.1% 10.6% 10.0% 6.6% 7.2% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2%
Hunter Johnstone 14.0% 12.6% 14.0% 12.3% 11.9% 9.0% 8.3% 7.3% 4.6% 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Ryan Seago 8.8% 9.9% 11.4% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 11.0% 11.2% 6.0% 6.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
Joseph David 7.8% 10.1% 8.7% 10.7% 9.0% 9.9% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 7.4% 5.7% 1.8% 1.2%
Charles Bocklet 4.3% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 6.0% 7.8% 10.4% 11.1% 12.3% 13.8% 6.9%
Peter Hidley 4.0% 2.6% 3.9% 3.6% 5.4% 5.0% 6.9% 7.1% 9.7% 11.4% 13.5% 15.0% 11.9%
Duncan Howes 8.8% 8.4% 8.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.5% 9.4% 8.8% 11.3% 7.5% 6.9% 3.9% 1.3%
Vincent Storino 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 3.5% 4.4% 4.8% 5.7% 8.4% 8.4% 11.5% 13.6% 16.1% 13.4%
Patrick Snow 18.3% 17.3% 13.7% 13.3% 10.6% 8.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 5.8% 6.2% 5.4% 6.6% 7.9% 8.8% 8.2% 9.9% 9.2% 10.9% 9.2% 7.5% 4.4%
Jonathan Lutz 9.9% 10.4% 10.5% 9.1% 11.1% 10.0% 10.3% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7% 3.7% 1.8% 1.1%
Travis Cottle 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 3.1% 3.6% 5.0% 5.1% 7.0% 10.6% 17.2% 39.9%
Adam DeVita 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 4.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 10.4% 14.6% 18.5% 18.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.