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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.08+6.35vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02+1.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91+0.85vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+0.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.05vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.87-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo2.44-2.72vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.16-0.54vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.65-2.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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4.71Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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5.85Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.27Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy3.670.2%1st Place
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8.95Jacksonville University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Buffalo2.440.1%1st Place
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10.46Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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9.56Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Cox | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 7.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Seago | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Joseph David | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 18.5% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 13.7% |
| Griffin Orr | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Travis Cottle | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 34.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 19.9% |
| Vincent Storino | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.