Race 7A

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hunter Johnstone 13.8% 13.9% 12.0% 11.6% 12.6% 10.0% 8.2% 6.6% 4.9% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Elliott Morrill 13.2% 11.6% 13.0% 12.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.0% 7.4% 5.8% 3.6% 1.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Duncan Howes 6.0% 7.8% 8.8% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 8.8% 12.1% 9.2% 7.9% 6.6% 3.6% 1.7%
Joseph David 8.5% 9.9% 7.9% 9.6% 10.2% 9.1% 9.0% 9.6% 10.0% 7.0% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Peter Hidley 4.2% 3.1% 3.3% 4.5% 5.1% 4.9% 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 11.7% 15.3% 16.3% 9.9%
Charles Bocklet 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 7.3% 6.2% 8.9% 11.4% 10.4% 12.8% 10.9% 8.4%
Jonathan Lutz 10.8% 9.6% 8.7% 10.4% 9.6% 9.9% 9.8% 8.7% 8.7% 6.4% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8%
Ryan Seago 8.9% 9.3% 10.6% 10.8% 9.3% 11.0% 11.5% 9.4% 6.8% 6.5% 2.8% 2.5% 0.6%
Vincent Storino 2.7% 3.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.7% 4.1% 5.8% 6.5% 8.8% 12.4% 14.0% 16.0% 14.5%
Griffin Orr 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 6.5% 7.7% 9.0% 9.3% 8.4% 9.3% 11.7% 8.8% 7.1% 4.5%
Patrick Snow 19.5% 16.8% 16.4% 11.8% 10.6% 8.4% 6.3% 5.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 1.4% 3.2% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 4.7% 5.4% 5.8% 7.6% 8.8% 15.7% 18.8% 18.8%
Travis Cottle 1.0% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 3.8% 6.8% 8.1% 10.1% 17.7% 39.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.