Race 3B

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kyle Burgess 10.0% 12.7% 14.1% 13.1% 12.4% 9.9% 11.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Jimmy Madigan 10.1% 11.4% 13.8% 13.9% 14.6% 10.5% 9.1% 6.3% 5.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Greiner Hobbs 41.1% 23.9% 17.0% 8.2% 5.8% 2.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 7.2% 11.0% 10.9% 12.1% 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 8.5% 6.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.5%
Clayton Sasaki 4.6% 4.8% 6.0% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 9.2% 11.4% 11.6% 10.0% 8.6% 5.4% 3.1%
Soren Walljasper 6.1% 6.5% 7.9% 10.0% 10.1% 11.1% 11.4% 11.4% 8.2% 7.4% 6.2% 2.6% 1.1%
Jacob Bruce 2.8% 3.6% 3.6% 4.4% 6.1% 6.9% 5.7% 10.0% 10.4% 12.8% 12.0% 13.4% 8.3%
DJ Litts 1.9% 3.0% 3.6% 3.1% 3.5% 6.1% 6.3% 9.3% 9.8% 12.5% 14.2% 15.9% 10.8%
Rory Mess 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 5.2% 4.1% 5.2% 8.5% 10.4% 13.0% 19.6% 22.9%
Allison Price 2.9% 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 4.6% 6.2% 7.9% 9.8% 10.8% 12.0% 12.8% 11.6% 9.8%
Padraig Loughlin 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 5.0% 5.5% 6.9% 7.0% 9.0% 12.8% 12.1% 13.2% 11.1% 9.4%
Erik Weis 9.2% 13.4% 12.6% 13.1% 11.9% 11.8% 10.8% 6.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Nicole Edwards 0.9% 1.3% 0.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 3.6% 5.5% 6.1% 9.1% 13.3% 18.0% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.