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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.04+0.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+0.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.93-1.05vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1335.2%1st Place
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2.95University of Pennsylvania1.0420.5%1st Place
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3.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6412.2%1st Place
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2.95Cornell University0.9319.8%1st Place
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3.47SUNY Maritime College0.5012.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 35.2% | 29.2% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Ian Fox | 20.5% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 12.2% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 30.6% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.8% | 20.9% | 20.8% | 21.7% | 16.9% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.