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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.24+3.48vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.01vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.47+0.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.52+0.71vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.73vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.01-1.31vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.21-2.01vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12-4.48vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.87-0.27vs Predicted
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11Washington College-1.17-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Christopher Newport University-0.849.2%1st Place
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5.48University of Vermont0.249.2%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8317.1%1st Place
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4.32George Washington University0.4715.2%1st Place
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5.71Connecticut College0.529.2%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College-0.526.7%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University0.017.4%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-0.217.4%1st Place
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4.52Clemson University0.1214.4%1st Place
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9.73University of Maryland-1.871.2%1st Place
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8.33Washington College-1.172.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smith | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Lina Carper | 17.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 7.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 17.3% | 58.1% |
| Rachel Morgen | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 26.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.