Race 7B

david-lee-arnoff-hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Clayton Sasaki 6.5% 7.1% 5.6% 9.6% 7.6% 10.4% 13.0% 11.9% 10.7% 8.5% 6.3% 2.8%
Jimmy Madigan 15.9% 17.7% 14.9% 15.4% 11.5% 7.8% 7.0% 4.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Spracher 13.9% 11.9% 15.5% 10.8% 13.0% 10.8% 10.2% 8.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Kyle Burgess 17.0% 16.6% 16.0% 13.5% 11.6% 9.6% 6.3% 4.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3%
Soren Walljasper 8.6% 10.3% 10.4% 12.1% 9.8% 12.0% 8.9% 8.9% 8.2% 6.6% 2.9% 1.3%
Erik Weis 18.3% 15.0% 15.6% 12.4% 12.0% 8.9% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Jacob Bruce 4.0% 5.2% 4.3% 5.8% 8.1% 7.8% 9.7% 9.7% 12.0% 12.7% 11.7% 9.0%
Allison Price 4.5% 5.0% 5.4% 4.9% 6.5% 9.1% 7.8% 9.8% 12.2% 13.9% 12.8% 8.1%
Padraig Loughlin 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 7.4% 7.9% 9.9% 11.0% 12.3% 13.5% 12.6% 9.0%
DJ Litts 4.0% 3.2% 4.5% 4.1% 5.4% 7.4% 9.1% 9.9% 12.2% 13.4% 14.8% 12.0%
Rory Mess 2.5% 2.0% 1.6% 3.4% 3.8% 5.6% 6.2% 8.8% 9.3% 12.9% 20.2% 23.7%
Nicole Edwards 1.6% 2.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.3% 2.7% 4.7% 7.3% 9.7% 13.2% 17.2% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.