Race 2B

cnu-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 18.4% 16.2% 14.2% 11.9% 11.4% 10.3% 8.2% 5.1% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Caitlin Derby 8.7% 10.2% 9.3% 11.5% 9.3% 11.2% 10.9% 11.6% 8.8% 6.2% 2.3%
Laura Smith 9.0% 9.5% 10.8% 9.8% 11.6% 10.9% 11.5% 10.2% 8.4% 6.3% 1.9%
Izzy Wu-Karr 7.0% 9.8% 8.6% 9.8% 8.5% 10.4% 10.8% 10.9% 12.8% 8.8% 2.6%
Lyla Solway 8.9% 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 10.5% 10.5% 11.2% 10.6% 10.9% 5.8% 2.4%
Nicole Ostapowicz 6.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 10.2% 11.9% 14.6% 13.5% 6.0%
Ashton Loring 13.8% 13.2% 13.8% 13.1% 12.0% 10.4% 8.3% 7.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Hayden Clary 15.8% 14.1% 14.0% 13.0% 11.8% 9.5% 7.7% 7.1% 4.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Rachel Morgen 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.9% 8.3% 13.6% 26.3% 23.4%
Emma Retzlaff 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.9% 4.3% 7.6% 17.4% 56.4%
Charlotte Stillman 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.8% 10.1% 9.8% 10.4% 12.3% 11.9% 9.7% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.