Race 8A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Sean Andrew 3.9% 6.8% 4.7% 6.9% 6.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.3% 6.5% 8.5% 7.8% 7.3% 6.7% 5.3% 2.7%
William Hutchings 11.9% 14.3% 9.5% 9.1% 9.6% 8.1% 8.5% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 4.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Peter Hughes 7.0% 4.9% 6.6% 7.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.1% 8.6% 7.0% 8.4% 7.1% 8.0% 5.3% 5.2% 3.6% 1.3%
Rob Struckett 8.8% 11.7% 8.5% 9.5% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 6.9% 6.3% 5.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Samuel Parish 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.4% 7.0% 7.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.1% 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 6.2% 3.6% 2.1%
Quentin Chafee 9.0% 7.6% 10.7% 9.4% 7.1% 7.5% 7.9% 8.3% 7.5% 5.8% 4.6% 5.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Ryan Pesch 15.4% 11.6% 11.7% 11.3% 9.1% 8.1% 6.9% 7.4% 5.8% 4.1% 3.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Stephen Hansel 6.7% 7.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.2% 7.9% 7.1% 6.5% 7.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.4% 6.5% 4.5% 3.8% 0.7%
Bradley Milliken 6.5% 6.8% 7.8% 6.8% 8.2% 7.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 6.8% 6.0% 5.2% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6%
David Pierce 3.9% 3.8% 4.1% 3.9% 4.6% 4.8% 5.9% 4.5% 6.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.3% 10.7% 7.2% 5.2%
Bianca Dragone 3.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 3.1% 3.2% 5.1% 5.6% 6.5% 8.0% 9.7% 10.4% 15.7% 12.4%
Neal Drake 2.8% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 2.9% 4.9% 6.0% 4.3% 4.9% 6.1% 8.0% 8.4% 12.1% 14.6% 14.0%
Ryan White 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.5% 8.4% 7.7% 6.3% 7.9% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 6.5% 4.9% 4.0% 1.6%
Max Fleischfresser 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 2.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 6.3% 7.0% 12.1% 16.3% 29.9%
Jeff Goodrich 7.2% 5.9% 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 7.6% 6.7% 9.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 5.8% 3.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Wesley Yland 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 0.9% 2.5% 3.3% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 5.2% 10.0% 11.7% 16.9% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.