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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+0.63vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.12+8.39vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+5.66vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.18-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.31+0.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.01-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.09-6.06vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-0.87vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.01-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.17+0.46vs Predicted
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18-0.62-5.37vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-6.34vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-7.33vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.06-3.45vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.11-7.61vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.99-5.84vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-2.21-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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2.51University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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5.53California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.66California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
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9.22University of California at Berkeley0.310.0%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Berkeley0.010.0%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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13.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.740.0%1st Place
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12.66California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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17.46University of California at San Diego-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.63-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.66California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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17.55Arizona State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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14.39Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.990.0%1st Place
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17.62University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Schiff | 15.0% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 34.8% | 24.3% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 17.7% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Barnette | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Anderson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martin | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McManus | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kelton | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 24.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Heisler | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 21.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Kirkpatrick | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 23.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.