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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+4.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+1.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.51vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.09+1.06vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+5.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.02-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.01+1.23vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.11+4.34vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+1.68vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.59vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.99+2.98vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-1.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-4.67vs Predicted
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17-0.62-4.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.12-3.70vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.17-1.38vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.06-2.77vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.21-3.08vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.01-7.93vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-10.18vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Barbara1.18-17.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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2.49University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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7.06University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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12.68California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Berkeley0.010.0%1st Place
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14.34Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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12.68California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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12.68California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Berkeley0.310.0%1st Place
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16.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.990.0%1st Place
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13.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.59-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
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17.62University of California at San Diego-2.170.0%1st Place
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17.23Arizona State University-2.060.0%1st Place
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17.92University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Gunnell | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 33.6% | 26.8% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 14.3% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martin | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Anderson | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Kirkpatrick | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McManus | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Barnette | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kelton | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Heisler | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 27.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.