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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.06vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-1.52vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+7.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.01+3.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.09-2.24vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+2.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.01+2.81vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-0.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.31-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.12+0.37vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.62+1.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.18-9.43vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.11-2.96vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-5.16vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.99-2.05vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.21-2.18vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-8.32vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-9.65vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.17-5.41vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.68-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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5.52California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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2.48University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Berkeley0.010.0%1st Place
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6.76University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at San Diego-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.230.0%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Berkeley0.310.0%1st Place
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14.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.120.0%1st Place
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16.03Arizona State University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.180.1%1st Place
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14.04Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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12.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.740.0%1st Place
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16.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.990.0%1st Place
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17.82University of California at Davis-2.210.0%1st Place
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12.68University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.35California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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17.59University of California at San Diego-2.170.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at San Diego-1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristram Craig | 19.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 33.1% | 25.3% | 19.5% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martin | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Frick | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Beutter | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Anderson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Barnette | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Jones | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Burrow | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McManus | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Kirkpatrick | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra LaBouff | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kelton | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Gomes | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.