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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.30+1.04vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.50-0.18vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.29+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.31-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.55-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Washington University1.300.4%1st Place
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1.82Indiana University1.500.5%1st Place
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3.58Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Illinois-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 36.7% | 34.6% | 19.1% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Najwa Jumali | 45.5% | 32.1% | 17.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 7.6% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 31.9% | 26.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 5.2% | 12.5% | 23.3% | 28.0% | 31.0% |
| Noor Willemsen | 5.0% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 28.4% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.