← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University1.30+1.02vs Predicted
-
2Indiana University1.50-0.18vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.29+0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-0.55-1.10vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago-0.31-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.02Washington University1.300.4%1st Place
-
1.82Indiana University1.500.4%1st Place
-
3.6Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of Illinois-0.550.0%1st Place
-
3.66University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 36.6% | 35.4% | 18.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Najwa Jumali | 44.6% | 33.6% | 17.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 7.6% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 32.0% | 27.2% |
| Noor Willemsen | 4.8% | 8.1% | 19.8% | 27.1% | 40.2% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.4% | 11.6% | 22.5% | 29.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.