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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.30+1.03vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.50-1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.55-0.13vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.29-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.31-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Washington University1.300.4%1st Place
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1.82Indiana University1.500.5%1st Place
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3.87University of Illinois-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.64Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 37.4% | 33.9% | 18.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Najwa Jumali | 45.5% | 33.2% | 16.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Noor Willemsen | 5.4% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 28.9% | 38.7% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 5.3% | 12.2% | 24.7% | 29.1% | 28.7% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.4% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 29.6% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.