← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Indiana University1.50+0.86vs Predicted
-
2Northwestern University-0.29+1.62vs Predicted
-
3Washington University1.30-1.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-0.55-0.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Chicago-0.31-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86Indiana University1.500.5%1st Place
-
3.62Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
-
2.0Washington University1.300.4%1st Place
-
3.87University of Illinois-0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.65University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 45.1% | 33.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 6.5% | 10.2% | 25.5% | 30.0% | 27.8% |
| Mary Prothero | 36.5% | 37.3% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Noor Willemsen | 5.1% | 7.8% | 20.7% | 27.9% | 38.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.8% | 11.6% | 22.8% | 27.9% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.