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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.52+4.68vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.84+3.23vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.47+1.20vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.01+1.54vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.21+0.95vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.23vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-3.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24-2.73vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12-4.75vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.87-0.79vs Predicted
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11Washington College-3.22-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Connecticut College0.527.8%1st Place
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5.23Christopher Newport University-0.849.8%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University0.4715.5%1st Place
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5.54North Carolina State University0.018.8%1st Place
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5.95William and Mary-0.217.1%1st Place
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6.23SUNY Maritime College-0.526.1%1st Place
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3.95St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8318.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Vermont0.2410.4%1st Place
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4.25Clemson University0.1215.3%1st Place
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9.21University of Maryland-1.870.9%1st Place
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10.49Washington College-3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Laura Smith | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 15.5% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Lina Carper | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 15.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 50.5% | 19.0% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 14.6% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.