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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.29+2.61vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.50-0.18vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.30-0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.31-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.55-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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1.82Indiana University1.500.4%1st Place
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2.03Washington University1.300.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Illinois-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Tokowitz | 7.7% | 10.5% | 23.9% | 28.4% | 29.5% |
| Najwa Jumali | 44.6% | 34.7% | 15.2% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Mary Prothero | 36.3% | 35.3% | 18.9% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.4% | 10.6% | 25.4% | 29.4% | 28.2% |
| Noor Willemsen | 5.0% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 29.5% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.