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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.29+2.62vs Predicted
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2Washington University1.30+0.01vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.50-1.16vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.31-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.55-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
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2.01Washington University1.300.4%1st Place
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1.84Indiana University1.500.5%1st Place
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3.63University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Illinois-0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Tokowitz | 7.6% | 10.8% | 23.3% | 29.0% | 29.3% |
| Mary Prothero | 35.5% | 37.7% | 18.9% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| Najwa Jumali | 45.2% | 33.2% | 15.0% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.5% | 10.3% | 25.6% | 29.2% | 28.4% |
| Noor Willemsen | 5.2% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 29.6% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.