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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.79+1.81vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.50+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.31+0.93vs Predicted
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4Washington University1.30-1.76vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.29-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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2.06Indiana University1.500.4%1st Place
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3.93University of Chicago-0.310.1%1st Place
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2.24Washington University1.300.3%1st Place
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3.95Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melinda Lee | 18.8% | 22.6% | 27.4% | 20.8% | 10.4% |
| Najwa Jumali | 37.4% | 31.6% | 20.2% | 9.2% | 1.6% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 30.3% | 41.7% |
| Mary Prothero | 32.2% | 28.9% | 25.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 29.2% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.