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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.30+1.28vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.50+0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.79-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.31-1.04vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.29-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Washington University1.300.3%1st Place
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2.02Indiana University1.500.4%1st Place
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2.79University of Illinois0.790.2%1st Place
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3.96University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.95Northwestern University-0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Prothero | 32.7% | 28.1% | 21.9% | 13.0% | 4.3% |
| Najwa Jumali | 38.7% | 31.3% | 20.9% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Melinda Lee | 18.6% | 22.2% | 29.7% | 21.0% | 8.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 4.6% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 29.4% | 42.5% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 5.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 29.1% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.