← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Washington University0.67-0.37vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University-0.88+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-1.45-0.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois-0.86-1.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago-0.92-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.63Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
-
3.18Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
-
3.82Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
-
3.15University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
-
3.21University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Cohen | 59.8% | 23.4% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 10.9% | 21.5% | 26.0% | 22.2% | 19.4% |
| Spencer Carlson | 6.3% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 42.7% |
| Nicole Hakim | 11.1% | 22.7% | 23.3% | 25.7% | 17.2% |
| Moritz Matzner | 11.9% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 26.7% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.