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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington University0.67-0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.86+0.16vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.45-0.17vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.88-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.92-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.16University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.83Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
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3.17Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Cohen | 59.7% | 23.5% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Nicole Hakim | 11.0% | 22.1% | 25.7% | 22.2% | 19.0% |
| Spencer Carlson | 6.3% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 42.8% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 11.1% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 25.8% | 17.7% |
| Moritz Matzner | 11.9% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 26.9% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.