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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Illinois-0.86+1.18vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.45+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-0.92-0.80vs Predicted
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5Washington University0.67-3.39vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.88-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.84Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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1.61Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.17Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hakim | 12.0% | 21.3% | 23.4% | 23.7% | 19.6% |
| Spencer Carlson | 5.5% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 23.6% | 41.6% |
| Moritz Matzner | 10.9% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 25.6% | 18.4% |
| Theodore Cohen | 59.5% | 25.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 12.1% | 20.7% | 24.5% | 23.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.