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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Chicago-0.92+1.24vs Predicted
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3Washington University0.67-1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.86-0.89vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.88-1.80vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.45-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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1.62Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.11University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.2Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.84Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Matzner | 11.6% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 23.6% | 21.8% |
| Theodore Cohen | 58.8% | 25.1% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicole Hakim | 13.3% | 19.7% | 26.9% | 23.2% | 16.9% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 10.3% | 22.5% | 23.3% | 25.2% | 18.7% |
| Spencer Carlson | 6.0% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.