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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Chicago-0.92+1.23vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.86+0.19vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67-2.38vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.88-1.86vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.45-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
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1.62Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.14Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.82Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Matzner | 11.7% | 18.6% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 20.8% |
| Nicole Hakim | 10.8% | 21.6% | 24.1% | 24.6% | 18.9% |
| Theodore Cohen | 59.5% | 24.5% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 11.9% | 22.2% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 17.7% |
| Spencer Carlson | 6.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.