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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Washington University0.67-0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.92+0.22vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.45-1.18vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.88-2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.86-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.22University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.82Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
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3.18Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Cohen | 59.7% | 23.7% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Moritz Matzner | 10.7% | 20.7% | 25.9% | 21.7% | 21.0% |
| Spencer Carlson | 6.3% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 23.1% | 42.1% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 11.0% | 22.2% | 22.8% | 26.1% | 17.9% |
| Nicole Hakim | 12.3% | 20.7% | 23.4% | 26.2% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.