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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.52+4.60vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.92vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.21+2.96vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.47+0.18vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.34vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.01-0.37vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.52-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.24-2.70vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12-4.59vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-1.87-0.59vs Predicted
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11Washington College-2.27-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Connecticut College0.528.4%1st Place
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3.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8317.5%1st Place
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5.96William and Mary-0.218.0%1st Place
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4.18George Washington University0.4716.2%1st Place
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5.34Christopher Newport University-0.849.8%1st Place
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5.63North Carolina State University0.018.5%1st Place
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6.46SUNY Maritime College-0.526.5%1st Place
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5.3University of Vermont0.249.6%1st Place
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4.41Clemson University0.1213.3%1st Place
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9.41University of Maryland-1.871.1%1st Place
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9.8Washington College-2.271.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Lina Carper | 17.5% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 1.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Ashton Loring | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 33.1% | 37.8% |
| Nora Ciak | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 24.1% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.