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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University0.67+0.63vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.88+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.86+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.92-1.77vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.45-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.2Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.8Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theodore Cohen | 58.3% | 25.7% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 10.6% | 21.7% | 24.4% | 23.7% | 19.6% |
| Nicole Hakim | 13.1% | 19.7% | 24.7% | 25.4% | 17.1% |
| Moritz Matzner | 10.7% | 21.0% | 23.6% | 24.1% | 20.6% |
| Spencer Carlson | 7.3% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 23.2% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.