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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3University of Illinois-0.86+0.18vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67-2.39vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.88-1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.92-2.76vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.45-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Illinois-0.860.1%1st Place
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1.61Washington University0.670.6%1st Place
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3.13Indiana University-0.880.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Chicago-0.920.1%1st Place
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3.83Northwestern University-1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hakim | 12.3% | 19.8% | 24.8% | 23.6% | 19.5% |
| Theodore Cohen | 59.0% | 25.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Ellefsen | 13.0% | 19.5% | 26.4% | 23.5% | 17.6% |
| Moritz Matzner | 9.7% | 22.2% | 23.0% | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Spencer Carlson | 6.0% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 24.9% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.