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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+4.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41+3.83vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.80+5.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44+1.90vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-0.62vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-2.13vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45+2.85vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05-0.32vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.87+2.91vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84-1.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.80vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.05-4.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.59-3.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-3.45vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.67-2.40vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.92Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.35Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.9Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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13.91SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.66Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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14.6McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Axel Sly | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 24.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Simone Staff | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 34.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.