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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+6.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.88vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.84+6.19vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.80+5.34vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.73vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.30vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-3.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-0.28vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.44-3.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.41-3.70vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.72vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-2.45vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-5.63vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.59-4.58vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-4.42vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.67-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.19Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.72SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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14.37McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| William Macdonald | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Axel Sly | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 24.7% |
| John Silvestri | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
| Simone Staff | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.