Race 11A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Ryan Pesch 16.0% 12.4% 13.0% 12.1% 8.7% 7.6% 8.4% 5.9% 4.0% 3.7% 3.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
William Hutchings 12.2% 13.7% 10.0% 9.5% 9.9% 8.2% 6.9% 6.5% 5.5% 5.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Quentin Chafee 8.7% 8.7% 8.4% 7.9% 10.4% 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 8.9% 6.9% 4.9% 5.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4%
Sean Andrew 3.8% 5.4% 5.6% 6.6% 6.4% 4.8% 5.1% 5.7% 7.6% 7.4% 9.0% 6.5% 8.8% 7.5% 6.9% 2.9%
David Pierce 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 6.1% 7.0% 5.6% 8.4% 6.5% 9.2% 9.5% 9.6% 7.9% 5.1%
Ryan White 5.1% 4.6% 8.7% 7.2% 5.6% 8.5% 7.4% 6.8% 5.2% 7.4% 7.1% 8.1% 5.1% 6.8% 4.8% 1.6%
Rob Struckett 11.7% 9.9% 7.4% 8.4% 10.0% 8.2% 9.0% 7.8% 5.8% 5.7% 5.6% 4.4% 3.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Wesley Yland 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 2.9% 2.3% 1.8% 2.6% 4.8% 5.3% 4.5% 6.8% 7.3% 11.5% 17.3% 25.6%
Neal Drake 2.3% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 4.1% 5.7% 6.7% 5.0% 8.5% 11.4% 11.2% 11.4% 14.8%
Samuel Parish 6.0% 6.4% 4.3% 6.3% 5.5% 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 7.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.3% 3.5% 2.2%
Max Fleischfresser 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 3.6% 3.1% 2.4% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 7.7% 9.9% 18.4% 30.4%
Bianca Dragone 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 4.8% 6.3% 8.1% 9.2% 11.7% 14.0% 13.0%
Peter Hughes 5.1% 6.6% 8.6% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.4% 7.0% 8.1% 6.5% 7.9% 6.4% 6.4% 5.4% 4.2% 0.8%
Bradley Milliken 6.4% 6.2% 7.0% 9.1% 7.5% 7.3% 8.3% 6.6% 7.8% 5.8% 8.1% 6.4% 5.5% 4.3% 2.8% 0.9%
Stephen Hansel 5.7% 6.6% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.7% 7.0% 7.0% 7.6% 6.5% 7.8% 5.9% 3.1% 1.0%
Jeff Goodrich 6.8% 6.8% 7.7% 6.8% 6.5% 9.5% 7.0% 8.4% 8.3% 6.0% 7.1% 6.6% 5.2% 4.1% 2.4% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.