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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+7.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.93vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+0.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64+0.06vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.84+2.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.48-1.40vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+4.00vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.45+0.97vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-2.23vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.41-5.19vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.59vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.05-6.41vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.58-5.57vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.67-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.19Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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14.0SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.15Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College2.580.0%1st Place
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14.35McGill University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| William Macdonald | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 25.9% |
| John Silvestri | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Simone Staff | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Giordano | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Yann Cudennec | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.