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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+7.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.95+7.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+4.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+2.17vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+1.14vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+3.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-1.95vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+2.14vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08+2.76vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-2.94vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.66vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.87vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.69-4.84vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.34-4.29vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.88vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.00-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.14Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.76Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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15.6McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 11.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Peter Maes | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.