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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.92+8.48vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.41vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.69+7.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+2.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.34vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+1.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73-0.90vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.34+3.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+0.10vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+1.41vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-3.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.44-4.48vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.25-5.20vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-3.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.07vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.00-0.24vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.47vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.08-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.48Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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11.41Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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15.76McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Buckstaff | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 5.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 52.6% |
| Peter Maes | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.