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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+8.37vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.25vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+5.09vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+3.86vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.69+5.11vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-0.88vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.99vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+2.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.54vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-0.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.70vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.44-7.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.65vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.34-4.35vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.00-1.19vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.08-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.11Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.16Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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12.35SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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15.81McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Maes | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 9.8% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Markus Suorsa | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 53.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.