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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.44+4.35vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+3.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+3.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.98vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-1.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-2.02vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.44vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.69-0.61vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.34-1.53vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-3.14vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.62vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-5.46vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.00-1.20vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.08-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.56Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.39Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.86Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.38SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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15.8McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.42Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Peter Maes | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 10.2% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Markus Suorsa | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 53.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.