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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+7.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+7.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+6.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.44+3.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+2.83vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.12vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.08vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-2.02vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08+3.60vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+1.39vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-3.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.24vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.80vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-3.81vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.69-4.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.97vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.00-1.18vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.34-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.49Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.83Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.6Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.39Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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12.2SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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15.82McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Peter Maes | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Markus Suorsa | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 54.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.