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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+6.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+6.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.63vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+5.06vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.06vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+0.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-0.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.34+2.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.51vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.43vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.19vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-5.05vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.48vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.69-5.68vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-6.41vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.00-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.62Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.43SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.52Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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8.95Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.32Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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15.61McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Maes | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 9.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 6.4% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 10.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Galster | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.