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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.44+6.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+7.36vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+1.90vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+8.20vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.79vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73-1.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-0.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-2.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-1.86vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69-1.57vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.95vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.34-2.84vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62-4.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.09vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-4.42vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.00-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.9Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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13.2Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.05SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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10.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.0%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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15.51McGill University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin MURPHY | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Buckstaff | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.1% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Peter Maes | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Galster | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Cobi Allen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
| Markus Suorsa | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.