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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 17.0% 16.7% 15.3% 13.8% 10.7% 9.3% 7.6% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 9.3% 10.8% 10.0% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 11.6% 10.2% 9.0% 4.1% 0.7%
Izzy Wu-Karr 8.1% 8.5% 10.1% 9.2% 10.4% 11.5% 12.4% 12.2% 11.6% 5.1% 0.9%
Laura Smith 10.0% 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 11.4% 10.8% 11.3% 10.5% 9.3% 4.3% 1.1%
Lyla Solway 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.5% 11.1% 11.7% 11.8% 12.2% 10.3% 4.7% 0.9%
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.2% 5.7% 7.5% 7.3% 8.0% 9.7% 11.2% 13.6% 17.2% 11.6% 3.0%
Hayden Clary 17.0% 13.5% 14.5% 13.2% 11.2% 9.8% 8.6% 6.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Charlotte Stillman 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 8.5% 10.7% 11.7% 10.0% 12.8% 14.8% 7.8% 1.8%
Ashton Loring 13.6% 16.1% 13.9% 12.8% 11.2% 10.1% 9.2% 7.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Nora Ciak 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 4.1% 7.2% 25.9% 52.9%
Emma Retzlaff 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 5.0% 8.6% 33.1% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.