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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.24+3.25vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.52+2.64vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.28vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.01+0.49vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.52+0.58vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.47-2.80vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.21-1.96vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12-4.68vs Predicted
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10Washington College-2.27-0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.87-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8317.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Vermont0.249.3%1st Place
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5.64Connecticut College0.528.1%1st Place
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5.28Christopher Newport University-0.8410.0%1st Place
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5.49North Carolina State University0.019.8%1st Place
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6.58SUNY Maritime College-0.525.2%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University0.4717.0%1st Place
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6.04William and Mary-0.217.6%1st Place
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4.32Clemson University0.1213.6%1st Place
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9.87Washington College-2.270.9%1st Place
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9.37University of Maryland-1.871.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lina Carper | 17.0% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Caitlin Derby | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
Laura Smith | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
Lyla Solway | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 3.0% |
Hayden Clary | 17.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Charlotte Stillman | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
Ashton Loring | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Nora Ciak | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 25.9% | 52.9% |
Emma Retzlaff | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 33.1% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.