Race 12A

lake-champlain-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Samuel Parish 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.2% 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 6.7% 7.9% 7.1% 6.0% 8.9% 6.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.5%
Peter Hughes 5.6% 7.1% 8.2% 6.7% 5.5% 7.2% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.4% 8.5% 6.1% 6.6% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5%
Quentin Chafee 9.7% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 9.0% 9.4% 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.4% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Pesch 13.5% 13.7% 11.0% 10.3% 12.0% 7.9% 6.8% 6.7% 5.6% 5.2% 2.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 9.6% 10.1% 10.2% 9.9% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 6.9% 6.0% 7.2% 5.2% 4.4% 3.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Stephen Hansel 5.7% 5.7% 6.3% 8.0% 8.4% 7.6% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 6.3% 6.7% 4.8% 4.9% 1.3%
Wesley Yland 1.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.2% 3.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 6.4% 6.6% 10.8% 17.4% 29.0%
Ryan White 5.6% 8.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 6.9% 7.1% 6.1% 7.9% 6.9% 8.0% 7.3% 7.1% 5.3% 2.9% 1.3%
William Hutchings 12.6% 10.6% 11.3% 10.0% 9.5% 8.4% 7.8% 7.5% 5.2% 5.4% 3.8% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6%
Sean Andrew 4.7% 5.5% 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 6.0% 8.9% 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 9.8% 7.9% 7.2% 5.3% 2.4%
Jeff Goodrich 8.4% 6.8% 8.1% 8.1% 5.7% 7.1% 7.2% 6.6% 9.1% 7.2% 7.1% 7.3% 4.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Bianca Dragone 2.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 5.4% 4.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.0% 9.7% 10.7% 15.0% 12.8%
Max Fleischfresser 1.4% 0.9% 1.9% 1.5% 1.2% 3.3% 2.1% 4.1% 3.3% 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 8.9% 12.1% 15.9% 30.7%
Neal Drake 2.9% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.7% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% 9.4% 11.5% 14.8% 11.8%
Bradley Milliken 7.2% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.7% 7.0% 8.2% 6.2% 8.0% 6.8% 8.7% 4.9% 7.2% 5.2% 2.8% 0.9%
David Pierce 3.4% 3.7% 4.1% 4.3% 5.6% 4.3% 5.3% 5.6% 7.2% 6.9% 8.3% 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 8.7% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.