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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.48vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.45vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+10.23vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+5.61vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+3.53vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.19vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+0.85vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-3.88vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67+0.72vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.19vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-0.94vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.10vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.33vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.67+1.42vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-7.36vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-7.43vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-10.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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9.61Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.53University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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5.12Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.72George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.67Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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16.42Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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8.64Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 11.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Liana Folger | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 65.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Maeve White | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.