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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.38vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.97+7.46vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.01+10.24vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+6.52vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.92vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+0.86vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.15vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.90-0.25vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-2.33vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-4.06vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.92-3.73vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.01-8.90vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.67+1.41vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.52vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.28-8.90vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.53Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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8.67Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.1Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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16.41Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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10.48George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.1Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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10.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 12.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 2.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Maeve White | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 64.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.