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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+7.16vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+7.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.81vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+2.55vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.15vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+2.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-2.19vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.69vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.20vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.14-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.01-1.35vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-4.33vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.67-5.44vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-7.87vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.67-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.99Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.81Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.8Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.41Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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12.65University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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16.29Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 4.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Liana Folger | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maeve White | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 18.7% | 10.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 2.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 11.8% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.