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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+9.87vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+7.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+3.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.28+3.90vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.46vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-0.72vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+2.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.47vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.97+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.74vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.48vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.15vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.90-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.01-2.91vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.40vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.67-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.87Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.93Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.46Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.18Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.65Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.44University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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16.29Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 20.0% | 12.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.