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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+9.35vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+6.78vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+4.45vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.64vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-0.78vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.01+4.88vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.12vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.67vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-2.44vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-5.38vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.64vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.28-7.94vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-9.29vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.67-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.45Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.64Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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5.22Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.88Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.56Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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16.29Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liana Folger | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 19.5% | 12.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 5.1% |
| Mary Hall | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Maeve White | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 11.1% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.