← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Dartmouth College2.97+4.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.74+3.69vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.13+1.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.59+2.32vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.77+0.86vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University3.26-1.84vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire1.71+2.13vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.70-1.96vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.93-3.83vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.75-4.06vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College1.85-3.21vs Predicted
-
14Bates College1.32-2.46vs Predicted
-
15McGill University0.54-1.84vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy1.32-4.73vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-10.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.08Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
-
5.55Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.32University of Rhode Island2.590.1%1st Place
-
6.86Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.16Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
10.13University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.04Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.17Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.94Tufts University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.79Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
-
11.54Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
-
13.16McGill University0.540.0%1st Place
-
11.27Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
-
6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Moakes | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Billy Rohman | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Salk | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| James Altreuter | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 16.2% |
| Natalie Fohl | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 51.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 15.3% |
| Rian Bareuther | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.