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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+3.00vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.52+3.62vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.01+2.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.47+0.25vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.12-0.71vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.24-1.87vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.21-1.90vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.39vs Predicted
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10Washington College-2.27-0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-1.87-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8316.2%1st Place
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5.62Connecticut College0.527.5%1st Place
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5.45North Carolina State University0.019.4%1st Place
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4.25George Washington University0.4716.4%1st Place
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4.29Clemson University0.1214.9%1st Place
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5.29Christopher Newport University-0.849.6%1st Place
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5.13University of Vermont0.2412.1%1st Place
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6.1William and Mary-0.216.3%1st Place
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6.61SUNY Maritime College-0.525.8%1st Place
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9.81Washington College-2.270.6%1st Place
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9.45University of Maryland-1.871.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Lina Carper | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
Izzy Wu-Karr | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
Lyla Solway | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
Hayden Clary | 16.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Ashton Loring | 14.9% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
Laura Smith | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
Caitlin Derby | 12.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Charlotte Stillman | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 2.9% |
Nora Ciak | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 24.6% | 52.8% |
Emma Retzlaff | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 32.9% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.