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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lina Carper 16.2% 16.4% 15.0% 14.2% 12.0% 9.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Izzy Wu-Karr 7.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 11.2% 11.3% 12.3% 11.1% 11.9% 5.3% 0.9%
Lyla Solway 9.4% 9.0% 9.7% 9.8% 11.5% 11.3% 12.4% 11.9% 8.8% 5.3% 0.9%
Hayden Clary 16.4% 13.5% 13.1% 13.8% 11.2% 11.3% 9.3% 5.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Ashton Loring 14.9% 15.4% 13.9% 11.8% 11.6% 10.4% 9.5% 7.1% 4.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Laura Smith 9.6% 10.4% 10.0% 10.3% 11.5% 11.6% 12.1% 10.4% 10.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Caitlin Derby 12.1% 9.5% 11.0% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 10.5% 11.8% 8.1% 4.0% 0.7%
Charlotte Stillman 6.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 10.5% 10.8% 13.9% 14.4% 8.7% 1.8%
Nicole Ostapowicz 5.8% 5.6% 6.9% 7.2% 8.1% 9.7% 9.3% 13.8% 18.6% 12.1% 2.9%
Nora Ciak 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 8.0% 24.6% 52.8%
Emma Retzlaff 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 3.7% 5.5% 8.3% 32.9% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.