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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.32vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+6.69vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.00vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.50vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+5.03vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+1.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+0.51vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.01+2.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.44vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.97-3.87vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67+2.24vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.28-7.11vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-6.24vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.67-6.40vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.5Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.51University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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9.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.13Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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16.24Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.76Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Liana Folger | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 13.6% |
| Mary Hall | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 11.7% | 61.3% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.