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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+5.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+6.80vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01+8.72vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.14+3.51vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.71+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+1.90vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.78vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61+1.71vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.34vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.67-0.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-2.43vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-5.58vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.28-6.28vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.37vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-6.59vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-0.05vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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5.37Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.8University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Minnesota2.010.0%1st Place
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8.51Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.78Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.63Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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16.95Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 22.3% | 7.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Clerc Cooper | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 1.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 77.5% |
| Liana Folger | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.